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The Bear Traps Report
Investment Research Publication
in cooperation with ACG
Your partner in New York, Washington, Beijing, Brussels and Latin America managing Political & Systemic Risk in the 21st century
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Financial Advisors, Family Offices, Hedge Funds, Portfolio Managers, Trade Desks and Retail Investors all use THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT to manage global political risk


 
 

Testimonials



The Bear Traps Report provides a unique look at risk management, a value added perspective across all asset classes."

Rene J Canezin, Harvard Management Company

One of the most comprehensive perspectives, a look across all asset classes. It gives us a 20,000 foot view of global risk coming at us from markets, Bear Traps is excellent."

Omeir Jilani, National Bank of Abu Dhabi

With the overload sell-side research it’s easy to sort through the noise using Bear Traps. It gives me conviction when speaking to my clients about the macroeconomic landscape and how we’ve positioned their portfolios."

Shiraz Ahmed, Raymond James

I worked with Larry at Lehman and he is both a very good person and a talented trader. The Bear Traps Report is a stand out among its research peers"

Bobby Dziedziech, Managing Director Jefferies International Limited

I don't touch the markets without a long phone call with Larry (Bear Traps founder). He might very well be a market genius."

J Madejski, Founder, Auto-Trader

The Bear Traps report is the most concise, advanced finance letter I have ever read. It puts global market risks into perspective - every week. My confidence investing my clients' money is tenfold with their team in my corner."

Chris Lakian, Financial Advisor

Larry McDonald and his team have been advising me for over 20 years. The 21 Lehman Risk Indicators have been very accurate at calling market declines over the last couple of years. I highly recommend his research to any institutional investor."

Jim Rappaport, CEO, New Boston Fund

Larry McDonald give the keynote speech at our financial advisor risk summit. Bear Traps provides a unique overview of global political risks, which are moving markets like never before."

Robert Behan, President, Calamos Investments
 


THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT
Membership

The Bear Traps Report is an exceptional risk management tool with solid trade ideas. I've known their team for years, highly recommend the service."

Tian Zeng, Citadel, a $24B asset manager based in Chicago


 

CURRENTLY, WE ARE CLOSED TO NEW CLIENTS.

In order to provide our members globally with the highest level of quality service, from time to time we restrict access. As space for new membership opens up, we can update you on availability.

Further questions please contact inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com



 
Closed

Institutional

Currently Closed

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
Multiple account users
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
ETF Capitulation Trades
Medium to Long Term Equity Asset Allocation Strategies
Weekly Credit Market Overview, Covering High Yield Investment Grade and Sovereign Government Bonds
Credit Risk Analysis
Rates (Government Bonds) Trade Ideas
Short and Long Term Credit Trade Strategies
Short and Long Term Equity Trade Strategies
Client Events and Meetings with Larry McDonald and Our Analysts
Bespoke Policy Research

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
WEEKLY Conference Calls with Larry McDonald and one of ACG’s 22 analysts around the world, covering Latin America, Puerto Rico, Fed / ECB meetings, European political risk, China’s Systemic Risk and opportunities, and weekly market outlook.
ONE-ON-ONE WEEKLY calls with Larry McDonald covering political risk and market outlook
WhatsApp Bear Traps Trade Alerts
BLOOMBERG chat with Larry McDonald
Closed

- PRO -

Currently Closed

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
1 to 2 account users
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
Macro Trade Ideas, Currency Views and High Yield
ETF Capitulation Trades
Medium to Long Term Equity Asset Allocation Strategies
Weekly Credit Market Overview, Covering High Yield Investment Grade and Sovereign Government Bonds
Client Events and Meetings with Larry McDonald and Our Analysts

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
WEEKLY Conference Calls with Larry McDonald and one of ACG’s 22 analysts around the world, covering Latin America, Puerto Rico, Fed / ECB meetings, European political risk, China’s Systemic Risk and opportunities, and weekly market outlook.
ONE-ON-ONE WEEKLY calls with Larry McDonald covering political risk and market outlook
Closed

- GOLD -

Currently Closed

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
Single User
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
Macro Trade Ideas, Currency Views and High Yield
ETF Capitulation Trades

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
MONTHLY Conference calls with Larry McDonald
Closed

- SILVER -

Currently Closed

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
Trade Alerts
Macro Recap
Medium to Long Term Strategies

GET A FREE SAMPLE FROM THE BEAR TRAPS

 

Over 75 of the top 100 asset managers in the world turn to The Bear Traps Reports every week for analysis, trading ideas and actionable research with no bias.

To Learn more about THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT check this free sample:


 

The Bear Traps Report


 

Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events"

Morgan Stanley
 
 


The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers, hedge funds, financial advisors, traders and more. Our report allows investors to spend a lot less time diving through research reports. We strive to get to the meat of what is moving markets.


Along with actionable trade ideas, we provide clients with a timely, first-hand look at global political market moving events. Our teams on the ground in New York, Toronto, Washington, Puerto Rico, Brussels, Dublin, Rio (Brazil) and Beijing (China) bring you closer to what is moving markets.


As governments and central banks drive markets, we turn these policy decisions into actionable trade ideas for clients around the world. Using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETFs and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital.



Since 2008, it's becoming ever more clear that politics is edging out economics as the key driver of policies"

BofA

Credit and political risks have a lot more impact on central bank policy decisions than economic data. Today, there is nothing more important than staying on top of global political systemic risk, these factors are moving markets like never before.


Our independent investment research stems from an elite team of analysts and strategists with real trading floor experience. Bear Traps was founded by Lawrence McDonald, he has spent 30 years working on Wall Street. He was formerly a senior distressed debt trader at Lehman Brothers and was part of the team that made $2 billion betting against the U.S housing market.


The Bear Traps trading ideas are centered around macro market moving events. Ideas stem from former Wall Street traders, and using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETF’s and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital.


The report will give you a complete view of the global markets, where to spot opportunities, and how to avoid risk. The letter is unique and unbiased, unlike any other research on Wall Street.


The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting the obvious and being there for the unexpected.
Lawrence McDonald

This enables our subscribers to spend more time on business development by having access to our analysts’ expert opinions and a more in-depth reach of political market moving events around the globe. Getting ahead of systemic risk coming at us from Asia, Europe and Latin America will help clients avoid substantial losses and generate above average returns.



POLITICAL RISK EVENTS MOVING MARKETS:


Subprime Crisis 2007
Lehman, Bear Sterns & Fannie & Freddie 2008
Grexit Risk 2010
Debt Ceiling 2013
Russia 2014
Central Bank Divergence 2015
Asia 2016
Brexit 2016
Turkey Coup 2016
Elections 2016

 

Lawrence McDonald

NY Times Best Selling Author, CNBC Contributor
Bear Traps Report Creator

 

BEAR TRAPS on CNBC: The case for a massive spike in volatility - August 15, 2017 The Fed will keep raising rates this year, says The Bear Traps Report's Larry McDonald, and as the market comes to this realization, volatility will rise.

Lawrence McDonald is a New York Times bestselling author, CNBC contributor, and Political Risk Expert. He is also the creator of The Bear Traps Report, a weekly independent investment letter focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas.


Larry McDonald as a Keynote Speaker provides rare insight into topics such as:

 

• Trump Presidency - Political Risk in 2017: An analysis of the Market Impact.
• Global Systemic Risk: A perspective on Trade and NAFTA Re-negotiations
• U.S. Global Economic Outlook: Market Impact of the Tax Reform from Washington D.C.
• China: The Epicenter of Risk and Unimaginable Debt
• The Rise and Fall of Emerging Market Economies
• Investment Risk Management
• Quantitative Easing, Federal Reserve Policy, and their side-effects

 

Thought-provoking Larry McDonald presents his captivating views on the Trump Administration, U.S. Financial Crisis, European Sovereign Debt, and China’s Economic Meltdown - spiced with actionable risk indicators, risk management lessons, and sprinkled with humor.


In 2016, Larry McDonald joined ACG Analytics in Washington D.C., as a partner with a unique skill set, as one of today’s leading political policy risk consultants and strategists. From 2011 – 2016, he was Managing Director and Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at Society Générale.


In 2010 he founded an investment research firm which publishes the The Bear Traps Report, focused on Political and Systemic Risk with actionable trade ideas. Larry makes weekly appearances on CNBC as a contributor focused on political and economic risk and opportunities.


In late 2006, as Vice President at Lehman Brothers, he led his team into betting against the subprime mortgage market, profiting the firm over $2 billion before its demise. In 2009, he wrote the international bestseller A Colossal Failure of Common Sense, The Inside Story of The Collapse of Lehman Brothers - translated into 12 languages, selling over 400,000 copies.


Larry McDonald’s proprietary risk indicators and risk management lessons are designed for Family Offices, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Hedge-Funds, and any investment group working to avoid the dangerous pitfalls in the post-Lehman financial markets.


McDonald was featured in the Academy Award winning documentary: Inside Job, and also featured in National Geographic’s award winning documentary: The 2000’s. He is a regular contributor on Bloomberg TV and Radio, Forbes, CNBC and Fox Business.


Larry has delivered over 125 keynote speeches worldwide. He details the complexities of the political policy implications of the Trump Administration and their relationship with Congress. Larry also adds the Lehman factor to his speeches, “why it was allowed to fail”, and above all - valuable risk indicators which help investors avoid the aftershocks that continue to rock the global economy until today. His presentations are thought-provoking and captivating.

Past Speaking Events:

• Financial Olympus National Prize (Moscow, Russia)
• National Bank of Abu Dhabi (United Arab Emirates)
• Rand Merchant Bank (South Africa)
• Barclays / ABSA (South Africa)
• Hartford Insurance Company (New York City)
• IBM (Seattle)
• Walkers Global (San Francisco)
• Regulatory Compliance (Boca Raton)
• Montreal Stock Exchange (Canada)
• Calamos Mutual Funds (Chicago)
• Franklin Templeton (Los Angeles)
• Danske Bank (Norway)


 

 

Thoroughly enjoyable. A wealth of information."

Franklin Templeton

Fantastic lecture. The clients loved it. Packed with lifelong trading and risk management lessons."

Danske Bank, Norway

A very clever way to use the past mistakes to predict the future. His lecture about global market risk was extremely valuable for our team of asset managers."

Hartford Mutual Funds

I loved it. You'll have to come again next year."

University of Florida, Ethics and Leadership Department

Larry's presentation is a treasure chest full of Business Ethics, Sustainability and Risk Management Lessons."

Harvard Business School
 

 

Additional Information

Contact: lgm@lawrencegmcdonald.com
Website: http://www.lawrencegmcdonald.com
Book Publication: “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense: The Inside Story of the Collapse of Lehman Brothers,” Published by Crown Business, a division of Random House
Twitter: @convertbond
Over 50,000 followers on Twitter, Facebook, and LinkedIn

 


 
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT
Investment Research Publication

The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls.

Check our Memberships:

 

Why You Should Subscribe

 

Solid team, analysis and research, we have been thoroughly impressed with the Bear Traps Report. Their depth and coverage across asset classes adds substantial client value.”

Chris Hagen, LPL Financial

Our readers receive specific investments alerts, when to enter a position and when to sell. Our actionable ideas are derived from political market moving events. i.e Federal Reserve policy decisions. Our vast resources cover; fixed income, stocks, commodities, ETF’s and volatility. Bear Traps reveals the dangers of future political moves and guides investors along the pathway to safety. Subscribers will get the very best actionable ideas and risk management indicators from one of the most recognized independent teams in the industry.


The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting the obvious and being there for the unexpected."

Lawrence McDonald


 
 
 

Investing from the Beating Heart of Wall Street

 

The Bear Traps Team uncovers specific opportunities in a variety of investment sectors, as they understand and share with their subscribers how these macroeconomic forces affect different asset classes. This will help investors by gauging the risk vs reward and spot the opportune moment to deploy capital in:


  1. US Credit – Full analysis of US & global Credit Markets.
  2. US Economy – In depth look at the economic conditions in the US.
  3. US Markets – Examination of equity markets, packed with trades and warning signs.
  4. Europe – Political and credit analysis of the Eurozone.
  5. Asia – Keeping a watchful eye on China and Japanese risks.
  6. Emerging Markets – Always searching for the great buy signals, and risks.
  7. Commodities – Tracking gold, oil and the mining markets.
  8. Trading Ideas – Our highest conviction short and long term trades.



Our Team includes 22 analysts in New York, Washington D.C., Toronto, Dublin, Frankfurt, Beijing, Puerto Rico and Brazil.



 

 
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT
Investment Research Publication

The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls.

Check our Memberships: