I am an avid reader of Bear Traps, it's a must read"
The Bear Traps Report provides a unique look at risk management, a value added perspective across all asset classes."
I’ve learned quite a lot over the past year and especially during this turbulent time in the past weeks your publications have helped a lot. My portfolio is up by a good portion but what is more important to me is that I have learned so much and your work has done much more in that process than you can imagine."
After reading your daily (Bear Traps Institutional Chat Recaps) for a couple months, I can say I think you do the most value added actionable work I've ever seen after nearly 30 years of consuming research. You blend macro with micro, using both induction and deduction in your cross asset, cross signal analysis.”
One of the most comprehensive perspectives, a look across all asset classes. It gives us a 20,000 foot view of global risk coming at us from markets, Bear Traps is excellent."
With the overload sell-side research it’s easy to sort through the noise using Bear Traps. It gives me conviction when speaking to my clients about the macroeconomic landscape and how we’ve positioned their portfolios."
I worked with Larry at Lehman and he is both a very good person and a talented trader. The Bear Traps Report is a stand out among its research peers"
I don't touch the markets without a long phone call with Larry (Bear Traps founder). He might very well be a market genius."
The Bear Traps report is the most concise, advanced research platform we've seen. It puts global market risks into perspective - every week. Our confidence investing clients' capital is enhanced meaningfully with them in my corner."
Larry McDonald and his team have been advising me for over 20 years. The 21 Lehman Risk Indicators have been very accurate at calling market declines over the last couple of years. I highly recommend his research to any institutional investor."
Larry McDonald give the keynote speech at our financial advisor risk summit. Bear Traps provides a unique overview of global political risks, which are moving markets like never before."
The Bear Traps institutional client chat on Bloomberg is one of the very finest on Wall St., adds a lot of value. It’s the best cross-asset overview out there.”
The Bear Traps Report is an exceptional risk management tool with solid trade ideas. I've known their team for years, highly recommend the service."
Over 75 of the top 100 asset managers in the world turn to The Bear Traps Reports every week for analysis, trading ideas and actionable research with no bias.
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Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events"
The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers, hedge funds, financial advisors, traders and more. Our report allows investors to spend a lot less time diving through research reports. We strive to get to the meat of what is moving markets.
Along with actionable trade ideas, we provide clients with a timely, first-hand look at global political market moving events. Our teams on the ground in New York, Toronto, Washington, Puerto Rico, Brussels, Dublin, Rio (Brazil) and Beijing (China) bring you closer to what is moving markets.
Since 2008, it's becoming ever more clear that politics is edging out economics as the key driver of markets"
As governments and central banks drive markets, we turn these policy decisions into actionable trade ideas for clients around the world.
Credit and political risks have a lot more impact on central bank policy decisions than economic data. Today, there is nothing more important than staying on top of global political systemic risk, these factors are moving markets like never before.
Our independent investment research stems from an elite team of analysts and strategists with real trading floor experience. Bear Traps was founded by Lawrence McDonald, he has spent 30 years working on Wall Street. He was formerly a senior distressed debt trader at Lehman Brothers and was part of the team that made $2 billion betting against the U.S housing market.
The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting the obvious and being there for the unexpected.
The Bear Traps trading ideas are centered around macro market moving events. Ideas stem from former Wall Street traders, and using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETF’s and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital.
The report will give you a complete view of the global markets, where to spot opportunities, and how to avoid risk. The letter is unique and unbiased, unlike any other research on Wall Street.
This enables our subscribers to spend more time on business development by having access to our analysts’ expert opinions and a more in-depth reach of political market moving events around the globe. Getting ahead of systemic risk coming at us from Asia, Europe and Latin America will help clients avoid substantial losses and generate above average returns.
Looking at the current market landscape, political factors are more important than macro economic issues.
POLITICAL RISK EVENTS MOVING MARKETS:
Subprime Crisis 2007
Lehman, Bear Sterns & Fannie & Freddie 2008
Grexit Risk 2010
Debt Ceiling 2013
Central Bank Divergence 2015
Turkey Coup 2016
Larry McDonald is a New York Times bestselling author, CNBC contributor, and Political Risk Expert. He is also the creator of The Bear Traps Report, a weekly independent Macro Research Platform focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas.
Thought-provoking Larry McDonald presents his captivating views on the Trump Administration, U.S. Financial Crisis, European Sovereign Debt, and China’s Economic Meltdown - spiced with actionable risk indicators, risk management lessons, and sprinkled with humor.
In 2016, Larry McDonald joined ACG Analytics in Washington D.C., as a partner with a unique skill set, as one of today’s leading political policy risk consultants and strategists. From 2011 – 2016, he was Managing Director and Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at Société Générale.
In 2010 he founded an investment research firm which publishes the The Bear Traps Report, focused on Political and Systemic Risk with actionable trade ideas. Larry makes weekly appearances on CNBC as a contributor focused on political and economic risk and opportunities.
In late 2006, as Vice President at Lehman Brothers, he led his team into betting against the subprime mortgage market, profiting the firm over $2 billion before its demise. In 2009, he wrote the international bestseller A Colossal Failure of Common Sense, The Inside Story of The Collapse of Lehman Brothers - translated into 12 languages, selling over 400,000 copies.
Prior to working at Lehman, he was the co-founder of Convertbond.com, a website that provided convertible securities information with news, valuation, terms and analysis tools for convertible bonds, convertible preferred stocks, and other convertible securities. Convertbond was acquired by Morgan Stanley in 1999.
Larry McDonald’s proprietary risk indicators and risk management lessons are designed for Family Offices, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Hedge-Funds, and any investment group working to avoid the dangerous pitfalls in the post-Lehman financial markets.
McDonald was featured in the Academy Award winning documentary: Inside Job, and also featured in National Geographic’s award winning documentary: The 2000’s. He is a regular contributor on Bloomberg TV and Radio, Forbes, CNBC and Fox Business.
Larry has delivered over 125 keynote speeches worldwide. He details the complexities of the political policy implications of the Trump Administration and their relationship with Congress. Larry also adds the Lehman factor to his speeches, “why it was allowed to fail”, and above all - valuable risk indicators which help investors avoid the aftershocks that continue to rock the global economy until today. His presentations are thought-provoking and captivating.
Larry McDonald as a Keynote Speaker provides rare insight into topics such as:
• Trump Presidency - Political Risk in 2017: An analysis of the Market Impact.
• Global Systemic Risk: A perspective on Trade and NAFTA Re-negotiations
• U.S. Global Economic Outlook: Market Impact of the Tax Reform from Washington D.C.
• China: The Epicenter of Risk and Unimaginable Debt
• The Rise and Fall of Emerging Market Economies
• Investment Risk Management
• Quantitative Easing, Federal Reserve Policy, and their side-effects
• Inside Fixed Income & Dividend Investing Summit
• Norway's DNB Markets
• Municipal Advisory Council of Texas in their 2018 Conference in San Antonio Texas
• NAFOA 2018 Fall Finance & Tribal Economies Conference
• Janus Henderson UK Investors Conference (London, UK)
• Financial Olympus National Prize (Moscow, Russia)
• National Bank of Abu Dhabi (United Arab Emirates)
• Rand Merchant Bank (South Africa)
• Barclays / ABSA (South Africa)
• Hartford Insurance Company (New York City)
• IBM (Seattle)
• Walkers Global (San Francisco)
• Regulatory Compliance (Boca Raton)
• Montreal Stock Exchange (Canada)
• Calamos Mutual Funds (Chicago)
• Franklin Templeton (Los Angeles)
• Danske Bank (Norway)
Thoroughly enjoyable. A wealth of information."
Fantastic lecture. The clients loved it. Packed with lifelong trading and risk management lessons."
A very clever way to use the past mistakes to predict the future. His lecture about global market risk was extremely valuable for our team of asset managers."
I loved it. You'll have to come again next year."
Larry's presentation is a treasure chest full of Business Ethics, Sustainability and Risk Management Lessons."
Book Publication: “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense: The Inside Story of the Collapse of Lehman Brothers,” Published by Crown Business, a division of Random House
Over 50,000 followers on Twitter, Facebook, and LinkedIn
Solid team, analysis and research, we have been thoroughly impressed with the Bear Traps Report. Their depth and coverage across asset classes adds substantial client value.”
Our readers receive specific investments alerts, when to enter a position and when to sell. Our actionable ideas are derived from political market moving events. i.e Federal Reserve policy decisions.
Our vast resources cover; fixed income, stocks, commodities, ETF’s and volatility.
Bear Traps reveals the dangers of future political moves and guides investors along the pathway to safety. Subscribers will get the very best actionable ideas and risk management indicators from one of the most recognized independent teams in the industry.
The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting the obvious and being there for the unexpected."
The Bear Traps Team uncovers specific opportunities in a variety of investment sectors, as they understand and share with their subscribers how these macroeconomic forces affect different asset classes. This will help investors by gauging the risk vs reward and spot the opportune moment to deploy capital in:
Our Team includes analysts in New York, Washington D.C., Toronto, Dublin, Frankfurt, Beijing, Puerto Rico and Brazil.